As India moves deeper into the post monsoon transition, the first week of November is expected to bring a mix of widespread rain, thunderstorms, and early winter signals. According to the latest bulletin of , rainfall will continue across the eastern, central, and western regions in the initial days of November before gradually subsiding by mid-week.
A fresh western disturbance is set to influence northwest India from the night of November 3, potentially ushering in light to moderate rain and snowfall over the northern hills. The IMD bulletin, issued on October 31, highlights that while the current spell of rainfall is expected to ease after November 4, the coming week will mark a significant weather shift, from monsoon remnants in the south and east to prewinter systems in the north. India Meteorological Department (IMD).
Rain to continue across east and central India On November 1, several regions are expected to receive heavy rain, including the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Bihar, Gujarat, sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, and parts of Madhya Pradesh.
Thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and gusty winds (30–40 kmph) are also likely over Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Gujarat, and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. According to the IMD, parts of Madhya Pradesh and the northeast will likely experience lightning strikes, with isolated storm cells expected to develop.
Mariners off the coast of Gujarat and Konkan coasts have been advised to exercise caution, as these areas are likely to experience squally weather with wind speeds of 35–45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph. The department has urged fishermen not to venture into these regions due to rough sea conditions.
Thunderstorms to persist over western and coastal regions The IMD forecasts that November 2 will bring continued thunderstorm activity, with gusty winds expected over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, and Gujarat, along with isolated lightning over parts of Madhya Pradesh. By November 3, thunderstorms are likely over the Andaman Islands and western Madhya Pradesh.
This marks the start of a shift in the weather pattern, where the country’s northern and eastern ends experience contrasting conditions, continued moisture in the east and early winter conditions in the north. On November 4, thunderstorms with lightning and gusty winds (30–40 kmph) are likely over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, and western Madhya Pradesh to get isolated thunder and lightning.
SOURCE :
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/life-style/travel/imd-forecasts-heavy-rains-to-persist-over-eastern-india-rain-and-snow-in-the-north-from-november-3/articleshow/125008561.cms